ecoglobe [yinyang] news (23 September 1999)

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SCIENTISTS SCRAP CURRENT CLIMATE FORECASTS

Canberra, Sept 22 AAP - Scientists are no longer certain of their world climate forecasts, saying greenhouse gas emissions next century could be five times as high as today's levels.
    Emissions in 2100 could be twice the level previously predicted, New Scientist magazine reported.
    Scientists have now constructed 40 new scenarios based around assumptions on world population and economic and technological advance.
    In a draft special report on emissions by the United Nation's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPPC), scientists predicted emissions which ranged from six billion tonnes to 29 billion tonnes of carbon dioxide.
    The report represented the consensus view of hundreds of scientists and economists and was due to be published in March next year, New Scientist said.
    "The authors say that their work extends the range significantly towards higher emissions, which they say are more likely than suggested previously by the IPPC," it said.
    Environmentalists have criticised the report.
    New Scientist quoted Aubray Meyer of the London-based Global Commons Institute as saying the emissions predicted would trigger massive climate disruption, flooding of major cities and the death of world forests.
    However, scientists said there was some good news, with soaring emissions not inevitable.
    "Technology is at least as important a driving force of future greenhouse gas emissions as populations and economic development," the report said.

[Transcript from The Daily Telegraph (London), September 23, 1999,]

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ecoglobe [yinyang] news (23 September 1999)

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